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    A new ceiling

    Dallas-Fort Worth to unlock Texas' biggest home price decrease in 2020, says new report

    John Egan
    Dec 11, 2019 | 10:47 am
    Couple buying a house
    DFW will see Texas' biggest decrease in home prices next year.
    Photo courtesy of Austin Board of Realtors

    Homebuyers in Dallas-Fort Worth may have a price break to look forward to in 2020, according to a new forecast from Realtor.com.

    In an outlook published December 4, Realtor.com foresees home prices in DFW declining 0.5 percent in 2020 versus 2019. That would be the biggest drop in home prices among the state’s four major metro areas.

    “The North Texas housing market has come off of several record-breaking years,” says Cathy Mitchell, president of the MetroTex Association of Realtors. “A slight self-correction in the market compared to what we have experienced the last few years was expected and could prove to be beneficial in balancing our market with more quality inventory.”

    MetroTex says the median home price in DFW jumped 6 percent to $264,000 in October compared with the same time in 2018.

    Elsewhere in Texas, Realtor.com anticipates buyers in the Austin area will enjoy a 0.2 percent dip in home prices next year compared with this year.

    “As a realtor who serves the Austin real estate market daily, I do not agree with the Realtor.com forecast,” Romeo Manzanilla, incoming 2020 president of the Austin Board of Realtors, tells CultureMap. “Affordability concerns in the Austin metro area will continue to persist in 2020, as Austin’s economy will be fueled by tech and other companies relocating, expanding, or establishing secondary headquarters in Austin. Given the housing shortage and continued demand, median home prices will continue to rise at a conservative rate.”

    In October, the median home price in the Austin area soared 7.4 percent to $327,500 versus the same time in 2018, according to the Austin Board of Realtors. That makes Austin the priciest home market among the four major metro areas in Texas.

    Homebuyers in San Antonio are in store for a bit of sticker shock in 2020. Realtor.com predicts prices for single-family homes in the San Antonio metro area will climb 0.8 percent next year compared with 2019 — the highest price increase on tap among Texas’ four major metro areas.

    “We are fortunate in San Antonio that we have remained pretty steady in our price growth over the years while other markets continue to fluctuate,” Grant Lopez, chairman of the San Antonio Board of Realtors, tells CultureMap. “And despite the increase in prices, we are still one of the most affordable housing markets in Texas.”

    In October, the median home price in the San Antonio area stood at $235,700, up 6 percent from October 2018, according to the San Antonio Board of Realtors. That’s the lowest median price among the state’s four largest metro areas.

    Homebuyers in the Houston metro area are expected to see a tiny bump in prices next year — 0.2 percent compared with 2019, according to the Realtor.com forecast.

    “Overall, I think 2020 will be a good year to be a buyer, and I think sellers will have to reset some expectations depending on their hyperlocal market,” Paige Martin, broker associate and leader of the Houston Properties Team at Keller Williams, tells CultureMap.

    In October, the median price for a home in the Houston area reached $239,900, up 2.1 percent from October 2018, the Houston Board of Realtors says.

    Overall, the Realtor.com forecast indicates median home prices will stay relatively steady across the state’s four biggest metro areas in 2020 — and will stay well below prices in a number of East Coast and West Coast markets, particularly big metro areas in Northern and Southern California.

    “Cities in Arizona, Nevada, and Texas will continue to benefit from shoppers looking for more affordable alternatives to California,” says George Ratiu, senior economist at Realtor.com.

    home-for-sale
    news/real-estate

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    REAL ESTATE NEWS

    More Dallas homeowners are becoming 'accidental landlords,' study finds

    Brandon Watson
    Mar 18, 2026 | 12:29 pm
    For Lease Real Estate Sign Hangs in Front Yard of House
    Getty Images
    An increasing number of Houston homeowners are bcoming "accidental landlords"

    Dallas homeowners unable to sell their properties are increasingly becoming “accidental landlords,” according to Zillow. The real estate marketplace’s newest analysis says that 3.4 percent of its local for-sale listings recently converted to rentals, making Dallas the eighth-worst U.S. city for the market trend.

    In Texas, three cities rank higher than Dallas: Austin (4.1 percent), Houston (4.2 percent), and San Antonio (3.9 percent). Seven of the top 10 metros are in Texas or Florida. Denver (4.9 percent) ranks as the No. 1 city for the trend.

    Zillow senior economist Kara Ng says today's dynamic is driven by choice rather than panic. Homeowners aren't being forced to sell; they're simply unwilling to accept what the market will actually pay.

    "As the market continues to rebalance, sellers are facing a different reality than they did a few years ago," Ng said in a statement. "Bargaining power is tilting toward buyers, and homes are taking longer to sell, making renting out a property one way to buy time rather than compete aggressively on price. After all, today's sellers are rarely forced to sell, and it appears they are often unwilling to budge off of what their heart says their home is worth."

    Nationally, the trend is nearing a record high. 2.3 percent of all Zillow rental listings were recently for-sale properties, second only to November 2022, when mortgage rates had doubled in a single year, and sellers were scrambling. That spike was shock-driven, but now stubbornness is likely fueling the shift.

    Single-family homes make up the largest share of accidental landlord properties, but condos are seeing the fastest rise. Metros with the hottest buyer competition, including Boston, New York City, and Providence, Rhode Island, have the lowest accidental landlord rates.

    For both local buyers and sellers, Goldilocks thinking is increasingly the norm. Sellers, especially those who bought during the COVID-19 boom, are holding their asking price firm to avoid taking a loss. Buyers, for their part, are refusing to compromise on concessions and repairs.

    The 10 U.S. Metros with the highest share of accidental landlords are:

    1. Denver: 4.9%
    2. Houston: 4.2%
    3. Austin: 4.1%
    4. San Antonio: 3.9%
    5. Portland: 3.7%
    6. Tampa: 3.7%
    7. Miami: 3.5%
    8. Dallas: 3.4%
    9. Jacksonville: 3.3%
    10. Nashville: 3.2%

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    news/real-estate
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