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Economic indicators

This Dallas suburb's housing market is 'turning ugly,' indicates new report

John Egan
Sep 18, 2019 | 2:35 pm
Downtown McKinney
McKinney's housing market is ripe for a downturn, according to GoBankingRates.
Photo courtesy of City of McKinney

By one measure, the housing market in McKinney is not sitting pretty. McKinney ranks 33rd on a new list of the 50 U.S. housing markets that are “turning ugly.”

It’s the only Texas city on the list, which was released by personal finance website GoBankingRates.com.

The report notes that while home prices have risen an average of 9.4 percent over the past two years across the U.S., prices have fallen 1.3 percent in McKinney. Plus, McKinney is saddled with one of the highest percentages of listed homes with price cuts among the cities on this list.

Here’s the data rundown for McKinney:

  • Median list price: $379,243
  • Two-year price change: -1.3 percent
  • Percentage of underwater mortgages: 4.3 percent
  • Foreclosures: 1 in every 2,546 homes

To identify places that face a sizable risk of a housing downturn, GoBankingRates evaluated 500 cities to study rates of foreclosures and underwater mortgages (houses that are worth less than what’s owed on them). The site also examined changes in median home listing prices, the number of days that homes spend on the market, and the percentage of for-sale listings with price cuts. It then combed through those figures to see which housing markets are lagging behind the U.S. as a whole.

The report is quick to point out that a housing market on the 50-city “turning ugly” list isn’t necessarily headed for a crash. However, a spot on the list indicates that conditions are ripe for a housing downturn.

But one realtor group isn't taking the report's findings as gospel.

Bill Head, communicators director at the MetroTexas Association of Realtors, says that contrary to findings, home sales in McKinney have been robust for several years. This August, 276 single-family home sales were recorded in McKinney, compared with 298 in August 2018, 327 in August 2017, and 276 in August 2016, according to MetroTex data. Meanwhile, the median sale price of a single-family home in McKinney rose from $279,450 in August 2016 to $336,500 in August 2019.

“In general, the real estate market in most municipalities in Collin County — and that includes McKinney — are the healthiest in North Texas, and I would see no reason that the market will not remain quite healthy moving forward,” he says.

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news/real-estate
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homebuying news

Texas ranks among the top 20 markets for homebuyers under 35

Amber Heckler
Aug 11, 2026 | 10:15 am
Young homeowners
Photo by Vitaly Gariev on Unsplash
In 2025, Texas had more mortgage applicants under 35 years old than any other state in the country, the report found.

The Lone Star State is emerging as a top destination for young adult homebuyers, a new report has confirmed, with nearly 23 percent of all mortgage applications submitted by individuals under 35 years old.

Texas ranked No. 18 in SmartAsset's new study, "Where Young Adults are House Hunting," making it one of the most sought-after U.S. states "where the next generation of homeowners may be gaining the strongest foothold."

To determine where younger Americans are most actively pursuing homeownership, SmartAsset's analysts examined mortgage application data in all 50 states in 2025, and calculated the share of applications filed by buyers younger than 35 relative to all applicants.

A total 259,737 Texas homebuyers under 35 submitted mortgage applications in the last year alone — making Texas the state with the highest number of young adult applications in the country.

California and Florida, respectively, had the second- and third-highest numerical rate of young adult homebuyers with 170,434 and 159,429 applications in each state. But they still ranked at the bottom of the national list with the lowest percentage of young adult applications relative to all applicants in 2025 — at 14.7 and 14.8 percent.

North Dakota leads the nation as the top state for young homeowners with over 28 percent of all mortgage applications in 2025 submitted by homebuyers under 35, making up 6,551 applications.

SmartAsset also revealed something many homeowners might already know: younger Americans are more likely to pursue homeownership in states with lower housing costs.

"In each of the four states with the highest share of mortgage applications from adults younger than 35, the typical home value is less than $300,000: North Dakota (No. 1), West Virginia (No. 2), Nebraska (No. 3) and Iowa (No. 4)," the report's author wrote.

In Texas, the typical home is worth $302,187, which is the 18th highest in the U.S. Meanwhile, West Virginia and Mississippi are the only two states with home values under $200,000, the lowest nationwide.

Young potential homebuyers looking for their next home in Dallas need to make about $83,000 to afford a starter home. Many surrounding suburbs also have high appeal for first-time homebuyers, such as McKinney and Plano, which offer a high quality of life for homeowners that want to start a family.

High home prices aren't the only challenges keeping young Americans from becoming homeowners, the report said. Other challenges like high interest rates and limited supply are also plaguing would-be homebuyers.

"According to a recent Pew Research Center survey, nearly 9 in 10 younger Americans say it is harder for them to buy a home than it was for their parents," the report said. "Nonetheless, younger buyers continue to aspire to homeownership, navigating an uneven landscape of affordability and opportunity."

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news/real-estate

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